Friday, June 14, 2013

-1.5 point Continustion gap + pro absorptions bar on 15m = Gap break rally to 1st TI

Today we a -1.5pt Continuation Gap with the opening bar printing a hammer type professional absorption bar after breaking the high we rallied to test the 1635 peak price of the 1st TI before being met with rejection. price then sold off to test the lows around 1628 where we had an early flag holding from the Globex session. It appears that we may be resuming the uptrend on the daily but caution is advised.
Recap Notes:

Trade Review : Good-Solid

[GOOD]Seq Selection    [GOOD]Entries   [OK]Exits    [GOOD]Exposure   [GOOD]Psyche
Sequence 1 - Today we opened in a triangle flag pattern from the globex session with block bars leading up to the flag. I entered on a C(500 cycle Nt on the break of some 5 probars. This entry was a bit early and i had to sit throught some heat eventually closing at a small loss. I actually should have held here because price never broke down below the probar that printed on the 15t. No Regrets though.

Sequence 2 - Same Trade as the original just a reentry at higher prices, Good entry. I was able to exit 1 off at 3pt target but failed to close the 2nd and 3rd lot and wound up out with a tick after having multiple chances to close at 3+. Poor Exits on this trade.

Sequence 3 - This was also a followup from the same premise, my entry was again a bit pricey but we had price action momentum. I was able to get on and give it a chance maxing out on the position.

ADJUSTMENTS & OBSERVATIONS:
Liquid Reversal clues - 
Volume profile bars(Matrix) prints below 400# after printing larger Vol.
** Notice the 47 contract traded on the very LOW after 2235 traded the price before!
$TICK has moved to or below -800
These are good indication that price is subject to reverse. Look for price to hold with professionals or block bars printing on any time frame after this bounce for confirmation to enter.

Look for TICK Divergence and stay with it - 
The Divergence has the following attribute:
  1. $TICK price bars are above/ below the 0 Line
  2. $TICK Trend Line is above/ below the 0 Line
  3. Actual Price is above/below VPOCs both 30 & Daily
  4. Price is trading above/ below Midline on the 4500 tick
When these signs are present the probability is increased. When Blox or pro bar breaks are located at support or resistance then this is a max on opportunity. 
** NOTE For Longs ALL the criteria should be ABOVE & For shorts ALL the criteria should be BELOW**

Taking Profit/Leaving Money on the Table - Today i left alote of money on table but in a bad way. I failed to close on my 2nd lots looking to get more out of them and wound up closing with ticks instead of points, 6pts to be exact... This is totally unacceptable and must be corrected. Do Maat work for greed and acceptance. Appreciate whats given and move on, be sure that money left on the table holds NO regrets. 

Prep rep the night before and Globex Data on the open is a must - Today i had No Data on the open and was somewhat blind, however their were clues that pointed short, ie. the $TICK printed Exhaustion on the opening 1 minute bars in the overbought rang of +800

When we have NO News days be patient on the open - This is especially important when their is NO NEWS. Its best to wait for Extremes to happen then wait for Block bars or Pro bars to setup.